Against a backdrop of strong language from the US President, threats of military action, and challenges during negotiations, Iran is unlikely to agree to the latest proposals. Iran seems to have the upper hand in the situation, leveraging the ability to prolong the peace talks and cause embarrassment to Donald Trump.
Despite the US President’s warlike rhetoric and intentions to secure the Strait of Hormuz, Iran remains unmoved by the threats. It appears that Iran anticipated these actions and is provoking Trump successfully, almost as if Iranian strategists have been anticipating his behavior for some time.
A proposed plan facilitated by Pakistan involves a two-stage process, starting with a ceasefire lasting over a month leading to the end of the conflict and reopening of the Strait. However, following the loss of its intelligence chief to a bombing, Iran declared that the Strait will never return to its previous state, particularly for the US and Israel.
Iran has rejected the idea of a temporary ceasefire while under the threat of attacks on its power plants. The country has expressed distrust towards the US and its representatives, citing previous airstrikes during peace negotiations.
While no advocate of Iran’s regime, many observers believe that by provoking the US into further conflict, Tehran is gaining public support. The goal seems to be to highlight the adverse effects of the war and pressure the US to cease its actions. Despite warnings from Trump, Iran refused to comply with the ultimatum.
Having strategized for years, Iran understands it cannot directly confront the Israeli and American military forces. As a result, it has targeted Gulf States and effectively controlled the Strait of Hormuz, impacting global demands for peace.
Iran seeks not only to halt the war but also to embarrass America on a global scale and receive guarantees of non-aggression. Despite enduring significant losses, Iran continues the conflict to secure long-term assurances and assert dominance over the US.
French President Emmanuel Macron points out that Trump’s aggressive rhetoric complicates efforts to end the war, as Iranian military officials aim to make the US and Israel regret their actions.
Iran is willing to endure losses to achieve its goals, driven by a strategic rationale to humiliate Trump and maintain economic influence over the West. This approach seems to be progressing favorably for Iran compared to Trump’s position.
