Meteorological winter is coming to an end this week, but there is a possibility of more snow on the horizon. Advanced weather forecasting models indicate the potential for a blizzard to affect various parts of the UK in early March, leading to snowfall in several major cities.
The GFS weather model suggests that snow may first fall over Scotland, northern England, and North Wales around 9 pm on March 5. Glasgow could be the initial target in Scotland, while snow in England and Wales is expected mainly over elevated areas.
Subsequently, the blizzard is projected to move southward, with the likelihood of snow reaching densely populated areas. By 6 am on March 6, snowfall could occur in Newcastle and parts of Yorkshire, including Leeds.
Around 9 am, Manchester might also experience some snow flurries. Snow coverage maps indicate a significant portion of northern England and Scotland could be blanketed by snow by 3 pm, although accumulations are forecasted to be less than 1-2cm, except in elevated regions.
According to the Met Office forecast from February 28 to March 9, there is a possibility of snow, primarily over higher ground in northern regions. The forecast also mentions variable conditions in most areas, with intermittent drier and brighter periods.
The heaviest rainfall is expected in the north-west at the beginning of March, with potentially strong winds and a risk of gales. Temperatures are likely to remain near average or slightly above.
Looking ahead, the BBC forecast for early March indicates a possibility of snow but with lower likelihood. For the period of March 2 to 15, the forecast suggests the potential for high pressure near the UK, leading to drier conditions with precipitation levels around or below average.
The forecast highlights the influence of high pressure on precipitation and wind patterns, with the likelihood of relatively dry conditions, frost, and fog in the first week of March. Daytime temperatures are expected to be close to seasonal norms, with a chance of being above average in some areas, although Scotland may experience cooler conditions.
There is a small probability of high pressure developing at higher latitudes, which could bring colder conditions, though not extreme cold anomalies. This scenario would increase the chances of wintry showers.
