Britons may soon experience the hottest day on record in the UK, with weather models indicating a potential temperature surge to as high as 41C. The current highest recorded temperature stands at 40.3C, achieved during the scorching heatwave of July 2022. However, recent data suggests that temperatures could soar to 41C as another heatwave approaches.
According to the Met Office, conditions are anticipated to become “very warm” at the beginning of August. The GFS weather model forecasts a gradual temperature increase, with temperatures possibly reaching 31C on July 29 in the south-east of England. Subsequently, southern England could see highs of 30C on July 30, followed by potential highs of 31C in south-western regions on July 31. Wales may also experience 30C temperatures on July 31, as per the GFS model.
On August 1, the weather model indicates a significant temperature spike. The east of England could witness staggering highs of 41C, with areas stretching from Sussex to Lincolnshire, including London, potentially hitting 40C. Furthermore, the Midlands might see highs of 38C, with Yorkshire expecting 37C. While parts of Wales near the English border could experience temperatures of 31C or 32C, Scotland is likely to stay below 30C, and Northern Ireland below 25C.
Temperature anomaly maps for August 31 depict England and Wales shaded in deep red and black, indicating temperatures well above the seasonal average. The GFS model suggests that 10 counties in the east of England may encounter temperatures of 40C or higher.
Looking ahead, the Met Office forecasts continued warmth in the south for the remainder of July, with the potential for another heatwave by the start of August. Similarly, the outlook for August 2 to August 16 suggests above-normal temperatures, with the likelihood of further hot spells, particularly in the southern regions. However, there is also a risk of thunderstorms, with occasional summertime storms possible given the right conditions.
