Forecasters are anticipating a drop in temperatures over the upcoming weekend following the conclusion of the UK’s third heatwave of 2026. However, weather models indicate that it won’t be long before temperatures soar back into the mid to high-30s.
The Met Office projects that peak temperatures will linger around 30C or 31C until Saturday, before taking a significant dip on Sunday with expected highs of 25C in the south and 22C in the north. Despite the decline in temperatures, conditions are forecasted to remain dry and settled through the weekend, with an increase in cloud cover. The Met Office assures that although temperatures will approach seasonal averages, the weather will still feel pleasant in the sunlight.
According to the latest GFS weather model, temperatures could potentially rise to 36C again the following weekend. Specifically, on July 25, highs of 34C and 35C are predicted in western England, with 33C in Wales, 34C in the Midlands, and 34C in the southeast. The model suggests that on July 26, temperatures could reach 36C in the east of England, and as high as 34C to 35C in South Yorkshire.
Temperature anomaly maps for that weekend indicate that the UK will experience above-average temperatures, with regions shaded in orange and red. The GFS model maps highlight that nine counties in England may witness temperatures of 35C or higher later in the month.
Looking ahead towards the end of July, the Met Office anticipates temperatures to stay above average, although there is an increased likelihood of thunderstorms. The Met Office’s forecast for July 19 to July 28 indicates that as high-pressure systems weaken towards the end of July, there could be a greater chance of rain, showers, or thunderstorms compared to earlier in the month. Overall, temperatures are expected to remain above average during this period.
